| dc.description.abstract | Muhamad Karisma Yoedistira (2005), "An Analysis On The Factors
Affecting Indonesian Shrimp Export in Japan Market in 1982-2004". Faculty of
Economics, Developmental Economics Studies, International Program, Islamic
University of Indonesia, Yogyakarta.
In the early period of the new order government, export gas and oil had given
the biggest contribution to the revenue of Indonesian export. The role of gas and oil
export to the annual revenue of Indonesian reserveis about60%to 80%. The crisis of
oil trade in the world that happened since 1982, 1986 and reached to the top in the
year 2004 had caused the decrease of reserve which was used for financing to
development. To the thinning of gas and oil resources as the nation primary reserve, it
is very reasonable if the reserve is based on export of non-gas and oil. One of the
primary exports of non-gas and oil is shrimp commodity. Indonesia is included into
the biggestproducerand exporter of shrimp to the worldand Japan is the country that
has the biggest import value.
This thesis aims to analyze what factors which affect the export of Indonesian
shrimp in Japan market, and tine influence on the changing prices to the export of
Indonesian shrimp. Those influences can be seen from the demandside. The variables
which are assumed can affect the demands of Indonesian shrimp export are the price
of shrimp itself (US$/Kg), the exchangerate of Yen toward Rupiah, the populationof
Japan, and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita of Japan. The calculation
which used the ordinary least square method during the period of 1982 - 2004
showed that the demand of Indonesian shrimp export have a strong response to the
change of shrimp price, the Japan GDP per capita, the exchange rate of Yen toward
Rupiah, and the population ofJapan.
This research summarizes the determination of the analysis factors affecting
Indonesian shrimp export in Japan market; they are Japan Gross Domestic Product
per capita, Prices of shrimp, exchange rate of Yen toward to Rupiah and the
population of Japan. Based on the research, the coefficient determination R-square is
0.948014. Where, each independent variable has influences to Indonesian shrimp
export to Japan and all variables are significant to the demand of shrimp imported by
Japanand also has positive relationship in JapanGDP percapita, the exchange rate of
Yen toward to Rupiah, and the population of Japan. Contradictory with the other
variables, it has negative relationship - it means the decrease in shrimp price will
affect the increase in the demandof shrimp imported by Japan. The four variables are
tested by econometric method in classical assumption deviation, which are
Multicollinearity test, autocorrelation test and heterocedasticity test. They show that
the classical assumption deviation does not exist. | en_US |
